The government’s response to Covid-19 and Brexit are intimately connected.

For a translation into Spanish see ‘¿Qué relación hay entre el Brexit y la respuesta del gobierno británico al Covid-19?’. See also the version in The New European 30 April 2020.

The government’s response to Covid-19 and Brexit are intimately connected.  Recognising this is vital to understanding the politics of both.  Indeed as the trade expert David Henig has noted, we will know that the UK is really serious about Covid 19 at the moment in which is prepared to say that a Brexit extension is needed. That moment has not yet come, indeed it has been rules out.

On the face of it there is a very great difference between the two policies. In the case of Brexit the government has consistently rejected the advice of economists including its own. In the case of Covid-19 it constantly re-iterated that it is ‘following the science’.   But there is an underlying connection which is important.  Brexiter arguments are centred on fantasies about British scientific and inventive genius. The government has sought to address Covid-19 at least in part on this deluded basis.

At the beginning Boris Johnson stood behind ‘the science’ to justify a UK-only policy of ‘delay’ of the Covid-19 virus. This involved minimal intervention in what Johnson took  to reminding us are the  ‘freedom-loving’ proclivities of those ‘born in England’.  Too late, what looked like a cunning plan to exemplify the virtues of the British way collapsed utterly. The UK is now broadly speaking following Europe and much of the rest of the world.  ‘Following the science’ now sounds like a way of not answering legitimate questions.

But when it comes to ventilators a Brexiter innovation fixated logic applies.  The current crisis has been an opportunity to illustrate the argument that the UK was a powerful innovation nation that could do very well without the EU. The government launched a programme, the details of which are still murky, to create new emergency ventilators.  First off the stocks in the PR blitz was the Brexiter Sir James Dyson, who was teaming up with another Brexiter capitalist Lord Bamford of JCB to make many thousands.  This, it turned out was just one of many projects to design new ventilators, and to modify others for mass production. There were lots of allusions to the second world war as if Spitfires had been conjured out of thin air in the heat generated by patriotic enthusiasm. It is telling too that the government decided not to take part in the EU ventilator procurement programme. This had to be a British programme for PR purposes, even though many of the companies making the components in the UK are European, like Siemens, Airbus, Thales ….

That wartime analogy was deeply misleading – the UK was a world leader in aircraft before the Battle of Britain. It had been making Spitfires since the late 1930s, and had huge long-planned specialist factories making them.  What is clear is that we are not in 1940.  The UK is not a world leader in ventilator manufacture, far from it. Furthermore the NHS (and this is a scandal) has been undersupplied with them.  The high-end ventilators the NHS now needs will and are coming from abroad.  It looks as if the British emergency ventilators will generally be low-end ones, and one at least has already been rejected. The ones that seem  to be doing into production are based on simple machines long in production in the UK. Indeed there may be a wartime analogy which could become pertinent. Churchill did attempt to conjure up new weapons in a hurry in the face of expert advice.  They included anti-aircraft rockets, spigot mortars, and indeed a trench-cutting machine.  They were universally late, did not work well or at all, and represented a huge waste of resources.

We should not be fooled into believing that there is a coherent industrial strategy emerging out of the epidemic, a determined move to national self-supply.  For if there were the government would not be throwing manufacturing in Britain to the winds, as it’s Brexit plans certainly would. For they involve the breaking up of regulatory and customs market in which they exist, and furthermore, would open the British market not only to European producers, but those from all other the world. That is what being a global champion of free trade means.

What we need to understand is the centrality of a mythical picture of British innovation to Brexit. Brexiter arguments for a hard Brexit hinge on the UK’s supposed leadership in creativity and innovation, which was just waiting to be unleashed.  Dominic Cumming’s got his £800m for his  ‘ARPA’ in the recent budget. The wonderful thing about invoking ‘science’ is that it suggests action, drive, modernity. Yet what Johnson and other Brexiters have  rediscovered was a great British liberal tradition of making a lot of noise about science in order to cover up deliberate inaction, in the face of demands for a national and imperial strategy for agriculture and industry.

Before the Great War, faced with calls from the Tories for tariffs on imports, not least food, which he vehemently opposed, Lloyd George funded agricultural research to help farmers instead.  Of course any help they might receive would be years in the future and trivial by comparison with tariffs. Similarly in the 1920s the government resisted protection and imperial preference by creating an Empire Marketing Board, one of whose major functions was research. It had minor impact, as intended, and was wound up the moment tariffs came in in the 1930s.

The strategy has been in action for a while. After 2008 there was much talk about the march of the makers, and the northern powerhouse.  One of the very few initiatives was the support, with £50m, of the Graphene Institute. Graphene, made by two Manchester University scientists, was seen as a wonder material, which would transform the fortunes of the University, its region and the whole country. It was trumpeted as a wonder material, the key to a vibrant new future. It has not arrived, and one of the discovers (they both won Nobel Prizes) spends much of his time in Singapore.  £50m buys a lot of media coverage; it does not buy you a real industrial strategy.  Innovation capacity in batteries has been a favourite for some years. Yet there is no significant British battery industry, nor the prospect of one.  Electric cars, and batteries for them, are very much more advanced in Europe, in China and in Japan.  One cannot magic an  industry out of thin air, whether high end ventilators or batteries, but by referencing innovation one can pretend, for a while. And that is where the politics of Covid-19, and Brexit, are stuck, in cynical fantasies about innovation.